Somalia's first national census was taken in February 1975, and as
of mid-1992 no further census had been conducted. In the absence of
independent verification, the reliability of the 1975 count has been
questioned because those conducting it may have overstated the size
of their own clans and lineage groups to augment their allocations of
political and economic resources. The census nonetheless included a
complete enumeration in all urban and settled rural areas and a
sample enumeration of the nomadic population. In the latter case, the
sampling units were chiefly watering points. Preliminary results of
that census were made public as part of the Three-Year Plan, 1979-81,
issued by the Ministry of National Planning in existence at the time.
(Because the Somali state had disintegrated and the government's
physical infrastructure had been destroyed, no ministry of planning,
or indeed any other government ministry, existed in mid-1992.) Somali
officials suggested that the 1975 census undercounted the nomadic
population substantially, in part because the count took place during
one of the worst droughts in Somalia's recorded history, a time when
many people were moving in search of food and water.
The total population according to the 1975 census was 3.3 million.
The United Nations (UN) estimated Somalia's population in mid-1991 at
nearly 7.7 million. Not included were numerous refugees who had fled
from the Ogaden (Ogaadeen) in Ethiopia to Somalia beginning in the
mid-1970s.
The Ministry of National Planning's preliminary census data
distinguished three main categories of residents: nomads, settled
farmers, and persons in nonagricultural occupations. Settled farmers
lived in permanent settlements outside the national, regional, and
district capitals, although some of these were in fact pastoralists,
and others might have been craftsmen and small traders. Those living
in urban centers were defined as nonagricultural regardless of their
occupations. In 1975 nomads constituted nearly 59 percent of the
population, settled persons nearly 22 percent, and nonagricultural
persons more than 19 percent. Of the population categorized as
nomads, about 30 percent were considered seminomadic because of their
relatively permanent settlements and shorter range of seasonal
migration.
Various segments of the population apparently increased at
different rates. The nomadic population grew at less than 2 percent a
year, and the seminomadic, fully settled rural and urban populations
(in that order) at higher rates--well over 2.5 percent in the case of
the urban population. These varied rates of growth coupled with
increasing urbanization and the efforts, even if of limited success,
to settle nomads as cultivators or fishermen were likely to diminish
the proportion of nomads in the population.
The 1975 census did not indicate the composition of the population
by age and sex. Estimates suggested, however, that more than 45
percent of the total was under fifteen years of age, only about 2
percent was over sixty-five years, and that there were more males
than females among the nomadic population and proportionately fewer
males in urban areas.
Population densities varied widely. The areas of greatest rural
density were the settled zones adjacent to the Jubba and Shabeelle
rivers, a few places between them, and several small areas in the
northern highlands. The most lightly populated zones (fewer than six
persons per square kilometer) were in northeastern and central
Somalia, but there were some sparsely populated areas in the far
southwest along the Kenyan border.
The nomadic and seminomadic segments of the population
traditionally engage in cyclical migrations related to the seasons,
particularly in northern and northeastern Somalia. During the dry
season, the nomads of the Ogo highlands and plateau areas in the
north and the Nugaal Valley in the northeast generally congregate in
villages or large encampments at permanent wells or other reliable
sources of water. When the rains come, the nomads scatter with their
herds throughout the vast expanse of the Haud, where they live in
dispersed small encampments during the wet season, or as long as
animal forage and water last. When these resources are depleted, the
area empties as the nomads return to their home areas. In most cases,
adult men and women and their children remain with the sheep, goats,
burden camels, and, occasionally, cattle. Grazing camels are herded
at some distance by boys and young unmarried men.
A nomadic population also inhabits the southwest between the Jubba
River and the Kenyan border. Little is known about the migratory
patterns or dispersal of these peoples.
Somalia's best arable lands lie along the Jubba and Shabeelle
rivers and in the interriverine area. Most of the sedentary rural
population resides in the area in permanent agricultural villages and
settlements. Nomads are also found in this area, but many
pastoralists engage part-time in farming, and the range of seasonal
migrations is more restricted. After the spring rains begin, herders
move from the river edge into the interior. They return to the rivers
in the dry season (hagaa), but move again to the interior in
October and November if the second rainy season (day) permits.
They then retreat to the rivers until the next spring rains. The
sedentary population was augmented in the mid-1970s by the arrival of
more than 100,000 nomads who came from the drought-stricken north and
northeast to take up agricultural occupations in the southwest.
However, the 1980s saw some Somalis return to nomadism; data on the
extent of this reverse movement remain unavailable.
The locations of many towns appear to have been determined by
trade factors. The present-day major ports, which range from
Chisimayu and Mogadishu in the southwest to Berbera and Saylac in the
far northwest, were founded from the eighth to the tenth centuries
A.D. by Arab and Persian immigrants. They became centers of commerce
with the interior, a function they continued to perform in the 1990s,
although some towns, such as Saylac, had declined because of the
diminution of the dhow trade and repeated Ethiopian raids. Unlike in
other areas of coastal Africa, important fishing ports failed to
develop despite the substantial piscine resources of the Indian Ocean
and the Gulf of Aden. This failure appears to reflect the
centuries-old Somali aversion to eating fish and the absence of any
sizable inland market. Some of the towns south of Mogadishu have long
been sites of non-Somali fishing communities, however. The fisheries'
potential and the need to expand food production, coupled with the
problem of finding occupations for nomads ruined by the 1974-75
drought, resulted in government incentives to nomad families to
settle permanently in fishing cooperatives; about 15,000 nomads were
reported established in such cooperatives in late 1975.
Present-day inland trading centers in otherwise sparsely populated
areas began their existence as caravan crossing points or as regular
stopping places along caravan routes. In some cases, the ready
availability of water throughout the year led to the growth of
substantial settlements providing market and service facilities to
nomadic populations. One such settlement is Galcaio, an oasis in the
Mudug Plain that has permanent wells.
The distribution of town and villages in the agricultural areas of
the Jubba and Shabeelle rivers is related in part to the development
of market centers by the sedentary population. But the origin of a
considerable number of such settlements derives from the founding of
agricultural religious communities (jamaat) by various Islamic
brotherhoods during the nineteenth century. An example is the large
town of Baardheere, on the Jubba River in the Gedo Region, which
evolved from a jamaa founded in 1819. Hargeysa, the largest
town in northern Somalia, also started as a religious community in
the second half of the nineteenth century. However, growth into the
country's second biggest city was stimulated mainly by its selection
in 1942 as the administrative center for British Somaliland. In 1988
Hargeysa was virtually destroyed by troops loyal to Siad Barre in the
course of putting down the Isaaq insurrection.
After the establishment of a number of new regions (for a total of
sixteen as of early 1992, including Mogadishu) and districts (second
order administrative areas--sixty-nine as of 1989 plus fifteen in the
capital region), the government defined towns to include all regional
and district headquarters regardless of size. (When the civil war
broke out in 1991, the regional administrative system was nullified
and replaced by one based on regional clan groups.) Also defined as
towns were all other communities having populations of 2,000 or more.
Some administrative headquarters were much smaller than that. Data on
the number of communities specified as urban in the 1975 census were
not available except for the region of Mogadishu. At that time, the
capital had 380,000 residents, slightly more than 52 percent of all
persons in the category of "nonagricultural" (taken to be largely
urban). Only three other regions--Woqooyi Galbeed, Shabeellaha Hoose,
and the Bay--had urban populations constituting 7 to 9 percent of the
total urban population in 1975. The sole town of importance in
Woqooyi Galbeed Region at that time was Hargeysa. Berbera was much
smaller, but as a port on the Gulf of Aden it had the potential to
grow considerably. The chief town in Shabeellaha Hoose Region was
Merca, which was of some importance as a port. There were several
other port towns, such as Baraawe, and some inland communities that
served as sites for light manufacturing or food processing. In the
Bay Region the major towns, Baidoa and Buurhakaba, were located in
relatively densely settled agricultural areas. There were a few
important towns in other regions: the port of Chisimayu in Jubbada
Hoose and Dujuuma in the agricultural area of Jubbada Dhexe.